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38-44-5 +15.96 units

Posted By: DOXARAS-4-
Date: 15 Nov 03, 5:33 am

First let me warn you of one bad element with everything on today's picks: The leagues I play have all days off as there are the playoffs and international friendlies. It is easy in a such day for a non-pro like me to be deceived and 'force' himself to find value in any of the 5 games that are being played with something important on them. That for take my playoff picks with a grain of salt if you like.

I wil start with a future: Slovenia to advance in Canbet +175. Not that sold on Prso (not that he is bad) and Rapaic is far from 100% (due to injury). On the other hand no Cimirotic for Slovenia but these teams were about equal (or Slovenia was better) during the past 3-4 years. Now Slovenia has Nastja Ceh too, a really good player. They play second match at home too. I can't see why they should be that big underdogs to do it 3 in a row. Just because they have a bad tradition with Croatia? Sure it says much, but it also says public considers Slovenia to be complexed against Croatia. I don't think it should affect odds in such an extreme way. There must be value with Slovenia here.

Now I am not in love with their win or sobut at 7.25 in Expekt I must take it. It is better in the exchanges, like 7.50. This is a bad sign but whatever. Not a big bet there anyway. My second side pick of the day will be on the +1 -125 Pinbet line for them. At gametime you will probably be getting better odds too. I can sense the public being on only one side here. I like getting the push with a 1-goal loss in such a match (predicted to be extremely low-scoring).

My third pick will be from Canbet for Scotland: I can see this end up tied, but the line I like is the +350 pk line. I do give Scotland a chance and I give a big chance to the draw. Anyway I think a home win x 3.5 is a much more likely event than an away win. Relatively big bet, only I have them in futures too so personally I restricted that a bit.

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Messages In This Thread

38-44-5 +15.96 units -- DOXARAS-4- -- 15 Nov 03, 5:33 am
correction -- DOXARAS-4- -- 15 Nov 03, 5:35 am
Again, nice! -- Nakor -- 15 Nov 03, 10:25 am
Good start for the playoffs Dox (nt) -- Uk nfl fan -- 15 Nov 03, 10:26 am
ty both guys (nt) -- DOXARAS-4- -- 15 Nov 03, 12:13 pm
Surprisingly good results -- DOXARAS-4- -- 15 Nov 03, 12:13 pm
Wales-Russia -- DOXARAS-4- -- 17 Nov 03, 6:51 am

 


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