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Soccer Forum

Spread betting

Posted By: John May
Date: 12 Nov 03, 7:27 am

In Response To: I would be lying (DOXARAS-4-)

There must be great opportunities there but I don't know enough yet.

Two problems with spread betting Dox - 1) the market is much more efficent than with fixed odds. The lines are set by the London spread firms who are only allowed to deal to well-financed speculators (its FSA regulated) who are much sharper than the general public. 2) The volatility. This means wagering extremely conservatively. Its also very difficult to identify trends through the random noise. Its impossible to verify a winning system statistically except with those markets where the min/max payouts are very limited. Since those markets are effectively fixed odds anyway, why bother using a spread firm?
I favour the J Black approach, identify quarbs where positive expectation can be determined easily.
I think you are right to stick to fixed odds.

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Messages In This Thread

35-41-5 +8.94 units -- DOXARAS-4- -- 6 Nov 03, 6:24 pm
2 more -- DOXARAS-4- -- 6 Nov 03, 6:58 pm
Ksanthi-Aigalew -- DOXARAS-4- -- 7 Nov 03, 7:33 am
add 2 more -- DOXARAS-4- -- 8 Nov 03, 5:23 am
ok it is +625 -- DOXARAS-4- -- 8 Nov 03, 2:54 pm
Nice job -- Nakor -- 10 Nov 03, 4:54 pm
I don't -- DOXARAS-4- -- 10 Nov 03, 5:29 pm
Overall very good results -- DOXARAS-4- -- 9 Nov 03, 9:09 am
Blackburn-Everton -- DOXARAS-4- -- 10 Nov 03, 9:12 am
DOX,know much about spreadbetting -- Stingray -- 10 Nov 03, 9:52 am
I would be lying -- DOXARAS-4- -- 10 Nov 03, 1:17 pm
your honesty is refreshing.. -- Stingray -- 10 Nov 03, 1:59 pm
Spread betting -- John May -- 12 Nov 03, 7:27 am
Plus 3rd problem -- Uk nfl fan -- 12 Nov 03, 7:43 am
yes the vig is huge alright.. -- Stingray -- 13 Nov 03, 9:56 am
thanks alot for that -- DOXARAS-4- -- 12 Nov 03, 8:01 am
Volatility can help with the vig -- John May -- 14 Nov 03, 4:47 am

 


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