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2 more picks

Posted By: DOXARAS-4-
Date: 9 Oct 03, 12:50 pm

In Response To: 22-27-2 +6.79 units (DOXARAS-4-)

Both from Pinbet:
Azebajijan +3 -101
Switzerland-Ireland under 2.5 goals +103

Just how hard do the books expect Italy to play there? Need I say it again? When Squadra Azzura (national team of Italy) wins 1-0 the newspapers talk about a 'big,clear win'. When they win 2-0 they say they won 'al Inglese' (like the English). A 3-0 is a good big win that os treated somewhat indiferently. In a 4-goal victory or more the newspapers go out and call the coach names for 'wasting' he resources of the team:)))

Seriously though, Italy has proven over the years thateven versus the worst teams they won't risk nothing when up 1-0. Given a push at 3 goals and a -101 win at 2 or less, I will for sure bet it.

Ireland under: i am going small only because i like the Ireland side and they need a goal to have a shot even at 2nd place. When all-defense teams like this try to play attacking football, overs are on the agenda (soooooo much easier to destroy your good defense when you try to play attack,than play attack successfuly). However, other than that +103 seems very good to me. Pinnacle made a very smart point by leaving exposure on the under: The point is: With Russia almost a 'sure' winner Swirtzerand will try to win and qualify automatically. Ireland on the other hand that plays defensive football needs only the win to have a shot in pplay-offs (or qualify automatically if Russia fail to win). This is a solid point. However, reason dictates that in such a match teams will use their best strengths. Ireland know what Switzerland needs too. I can see a 1-2 or 2-1 and can'treally exclude the possibility of even more goals, but still my base is: Very important match for Ireland starts from under 2.5 -135 fair line at best and 38 cents for he pinnacle angle seem to be an overadjustment (to me).

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Messages In This Thread

22-27-2 +6.79 units -- DOXARAS-4- -- 6 Oct 03, 8:29 pm
comments -- DOXARAS-4- -- 6 Oct 03, 8:50 pm
more -- DOXARAS-4- -- 6 Oct 03, 8:55 pm
close but no cigar -- Soccerman -- 11 Oct 03, 10:00 am
2 more picks -- DOXARAS-4- -- 9 Oct 03, 12:50 pm
Greece-N. Ireland again -- DOXARAS-4- -- 10 Oct 03, 8:45 pm
NI -- SoccerMan -- 11 Oct 03, 12:28 am
Just because they haven't -- DOXARAS-4- -- 11 Oct 03, 5:25 am
bad results -- DOXARAS-4- -- 11 Oct 03, 3:53 pm

 


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