Soccer Forum

I deleted the post

Posted By: John May
Date: 7 Sep 03, 7:17 am

In Response To: We didn't delete it (Chris Kelly)

I deleted the post because it gave a specific recommendation to hedge the bet at half-time if the scoreline was goalless. This would not have been possible because I later discovered none of the exchanges were allowing in-running bets on that match (weirdly, since they offered in-running on most other european qualifiers), so I pulled the post before any one could get called short.

For the record, my judgement wasn't that far off, since San Marino held out for 33 mins, 12 mins short of a huge profit for the player. I believe my judgement was vindicated and this was a bet with a significant positive expectation, which naturally as a longshot was still very likely to lose.
However, let it be known that I recommended a bet on the draw at 42.0 which lost. But, this is not substantive evidence that I am a losing handicapper, since even a bet with a 400% ev at 42.0 is going to lose most of the time. If you want frequent wins, bet Manchester United at home every week, but don't expect to make any money.

Btw Nubee did not bet money on this match. He is an individual known to me who posts as Paddyboy, Stingray, Qwerty, Bonus Dude, Jim Bean and others, here, and at RGE and bj21. He has a personal grudge.

Messages In This Thread

Where is John Mays post? -- NuBee -- 6 Sep 03, 8:58 am

We didn't delete it -- Chris Kelly -- 6 Sep 03, 3:16 pm

I deleted the post -- John May -- 7 Sep 03, 7:17 am

A Caveat -- John May -- 7 Sep 03, 8:46 am

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