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Nothing to worry about yet

Posted By: patrick
Date: 20 May 02, 8:20 am

In Response To: if you disagree, please respond to this post (ricky)

WE is a LONG way from winning the Belmont. First, the Maryland horse was getting to him at the end of a shorter distance than the Derby. This is not to say the Marylander will beat him in the Bel, but I don't think he's going to run off a la Secretariat by 31 lengths. True, there hasn't been much chasing him, but neither his times nor his performances have been eye-catching, IMHO.

A fresh horse has got to have a chance. Many 3-yr.-olds are kept out of the Derby and Preakness because they haven't matured to the satisfaction of their trainers, physically and/or mentally. It IS a horrible grind. The end of a mile and a half after winning the first two legs has got to look a long way away.

Even with WE's impressive tactical speed, if other speed types decided to drive him into the ground, they could do it. The problem is, the other speed wants to win the race, too, unless they enter into a suicide pact. I can't foresee WE skipping into the stretch with a huge lead and gapping the field. More likely, he encounters trouble, he's a bit tired, he blows a fetlock, or Proud Citizen turns the tables on him the way Bet Twice did after losing to 'sheba in the first two legs. WE can run a fine race and still get beat.

Finally, we're caught up in the hype. Something like 26 of the last 40 Derby winners have also won either the Preakness or the Belmont, so it's more likely than not they win two legs. Only Secretariat, Slew and Affirmed have gone on to complete the trifecta in that time.

Best of all, unlikeable dickhead Baffert is spouting off about his chances, which, if there is a God, is enough reason to think he won't win.

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Messages In This Thread

Belmont questions -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 2:38 am
Answers to the easy ones.. -- Sluicebox -- 19 May 02, 8:10 am
a few more answers -- Dunbar -- 19 May 02, 8:32 am
Bid got hurt though... -- StevieY -- 19 May 02, 11:41 am
yep -- Dunbar -- 20 May 02, 3:14 am
added question -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 11:28 am
No -- Rusty Starfish -- 19 May 02, 11:36 am
thanks smartass. (nt) -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 12:26 pm
Not your most important question, but -- Gladstone -- 19 May 02, 1:26 pm
A week isn't enough for horses... -- Burnt Card -- 19 May 02, 1:56 pm
Ricky, the dark cloulds gather around, but we aren't dead yet. -- Fezzik -- 19 May 02, 12:42 pm
don't worry about me -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 1:13 pm
Hedging( War Emblem) futures -- D -- 19 May 02, 4:18 pm
2 & 3 -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 4:38 pm
Reponse -- D -- 19 May 02, 4:47 pm
here we go again :) -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 5:12 pm
Im not the one- -- D -- 19 May 02, 5:39 pm
if you disagree, please respond to this post -- ricky -- 19 May 02, 6:19 pm
Nothing to worry about yet -- patrick -- 20 May 02, 8:20 am
issues and answers -- Dunbar -- 20 May 02, 8:35 am
response -- ricky -- 20 May 02, 9:58 am

 


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