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I'm guessing fez will be a little nervous if War Emblem wins today

Posted By: Dunbar
Date: 18 May 02, 10:55 am

In Response To: Ok- Don-- i missed that too-- (D)

I'll be betting on War Emblem in the unlikely event that he is going off at 7-2 or better.

I don't think the no-triple-crown is that great at -1000. IMO the horse has a 25% chance to win today's race. If he wins it despite everything they will throw at him today, then I think he will have a 50% chance to win the Belmont. That implies about 1/8 chance to get the TC.

The good news is that Fezzik's bet will win 7 out of 8 times. :>)

--Dunbar

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Messages In This Thread

For the record, I like the Pro. But I don't want people losing $$ -- Fezzik -- 18 May 02, 12:37 am
Was this a test?? -- Don Peszynski -- 18 May 02, 9:23 am
Ok- Don-- i missed that too-- -- D -- 18 May 02, 9:42 am
I'm guessing fez will be a little nervous if War Emblem wins today -- Dunbar -- 18 May 02, 10:55 am
" Dinner companion " -- Mike Keno -- 18 May 02, 11:29 am
Oops.....correction 5 figures bet only! It was late last night. (nt) -- Fezzik -- 18 May 02, 1:26 pm
A good thing it was only 5 figures......... (nt) -- Fezzik -- 18 May 02, 3:59 pm

 


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