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Tradesports

Posted By: ricky
Date: 18 May 02, 9:51 am

In Response To: War Emblem (D)

I put on the No Triple Crown bet at -1000 as well....but I wish I had realized this bet was going to be available. Tradesports has a 24/26 market on War Emblem - you can sell him at 24% (actually 23.2% after the commissions). I would rather sell that than lay the No Triple Crown. Why? Because if he wins the Preakness, it seems most are saying he'd be about even money in the Belmont, that implies he should be 18.2% in the Preakness, so the sale at 23.2% is better. Even if he was 1.6-1 as the other horse was when he won the first 2 legs of the TC, that implies 23.6% in the Preakness...and 1.6-1 seems to be the upper bound on his odds in the Belmont. So unfortunately I already put down as much as I can stomache to risk on this, otherwise I'd be all over the 23.2% bid.

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Messages In This Thread

War Emblem -- D -- 18 May 02, 2:52 am
Don't worry, underlays of the century are easy to come by. (nt) -- Gladstone -- 18 May 02, 8:36 am
Tradesports -- ricky -- 18 May 02, 9:51 am
Good post, but no need to be paranoid -- Fezzik -- 18 May 02, 1:47 pm

 


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