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You need to test whether total goals is distributed as a Poisson

Posted By: Math Boy
Date: 3 Jun 02, 3:37 pm

In Response To: UK Spread Betting and Poisson Distribution (John Butterworth)

I would kind of doubt that it is. But it would be nice if it were. The reason is that the behavior of the teams drastically very depending upon what the score already is. John May didn't mention it in his post below, but he's told me there is some other kind of underlying distribution to soccer totals which is accepted.

Math Boy

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Messages In This Thread

UK Spread Betting and Poisson Distribution -- John Butterworth -- 3 Jun 02, 12:12 pm
Interesting question -- John May -- 3 Jun 02, 12:52 pm
Re: UK Spread Betting Poisson Distribution -- John Butterworth -- 4 Jun 02, 4:21 am
volatility -- ricky -- 4 Jun 02, 5:15 am
Re: Curious -- John Butterworth -- 4 Jun 02, 5:41 am
Some answers -- John May -- 4 Jun 02, 4:37 pm
You need to test whether total goals is distributed as a Poisson -- Math Boy -- 3 Jun 02, 3:37 pm
Underlying distribution -- John May -- 4 Jun 02, 4:25 am
Was this written by John May? -- Math Boy -- 4 Jun 02, 7:54 am
A guess -- Rusty Starfish -- 4 Jun 02, 8:03 am
hockey totals -- ricky -- 4 Jun 02, 5:17 am
soccer vs hockey -- Math Boy -- 4 Jun 02, 7:59 am

 


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