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NHL Forum
Format
Posted By: MarkH In Response To: Inconsistent format, causing me confusion... (Cutter)
Date: 13 Oct 03, 10:53 pm
Hi Cutter
I am posting moneylines (ie a handicap of 0 so a draw is a push) and a total line. In the little table, to avoid having to post both sides of each of the moneyline and the total I pick the side of the line which is better than my predicted line. So if the moneyline for WAS is +140 and my model gives me a fair line of +100 I will post this side of the moneyline next to WAS. Alternatively if WAS is -140 against a fair line of +100 I will post the +120 next to the other team. I will then do the same for the total and post the actual line in the space left next to the team which is not favoured by the moneyline. If the under is u5-115 and I think at 5 the under should be -140 I will post that. If it was the over which I thought should have been -140 I will post o5-105.
Doing it this way allows one to see the two lines which are being compared to determine whether I have a 10% better available line than my fair line.
In fact, my model produces the full range of lines from -1.5 to +1.5 on each side, and each line for totals of 4.5 to 6. However, I am doing it the way outlined above to limit the amount of data and work.
If people would have a preference for me to format it another way, please post a response below.
Good luck and thanks for the interest.
MarkH
- Wk of 10/13 to 10/19 (4-1-1, +3u) (nt) -- MarkH -- 13 Oct 03, 7:31 am
- Lines 10/13 -- MarkH -- 13 Oct 03, 7:41 am
- a thought... -- Joe Nathan -- 13 Oct 03, 3:32 pm
- Inconsistent format, causing me confusion... -- Cutter -- 13 Oct 03, 3:52 pm
- Format -- MarkH -- 13 Oct 03, 10:53 pm
- Why wasn't Columbus a play then? -- Cutter -- 14 Oct 03, 12:33 am
- I agree with everything Cutter said (nt) -- Math Boy -- 14 Oct 03, 5:23 am
- Some musings -- MarkH -- 14 Oct 03, 7:48 am
- Some musings -- MarkH -- 14 Oct 03, 7:48 am
- I agree with everything Cutter said (nt) -- Math Boy -- 14 Oct 03, 5:23 am
- Why wasn't Columbus a play then? -- Cutter -- 14 Oct 03, 12:33 am
- Inconsistent format, causing me confusion... -- Cutter -- 13 Oct 03, 3:52 pm
- Lines 10/14 -- MarkH -- 14 Oct 03, 8:16 am
- Lines 10/15 -- MarkH -- 15 Oct 03, 8:29 am
- Result: 0-1-0, -2.4u (nt) -- MarkH -- 16 Oct 03, 7:34 am
- 10/16 -- MarkH -- 16 Oct 03, 7:48 am
- Result: 1-1-0, +0.15u -- MarkH -- 16 Oct 03, 10:49 pm
- 10/18 -- MarkH -- 18 Oct 03, 9:23 am
- Res:1-1-2, -0.75u -- MarkH -- 19 Oct 03, 8:52 am
- 10/19 -- MarkH -- 19 Oct 03, 8:57 am
- a thought... -- Joe Nathan -- 13 Oct 03, 3:32 pm
- Lines 10/13 -- MarkH -- 13 Oct 03, 7:41 am
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