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Week 1: NY Giants - 1.5

Posted By: Howard Kelly
Date: 30 Jul 03, 3:55 pm

I may or may not post all picks but I plan to highlight my best plays which have had a high win %. Should be 6 or 7 games a season.

This line is wrong. The Rams are not the same as their SB teams. Too much respect is being given to their glamorous reputation. Both teams may make the playoffs. Both may win 9 games. ie Giants 10 win talent -1 tough schedule; Rams 8 win talent + 1 easy schedule.

1) The St Louis roster, like most clubs has turned over. "Name" players remain. Warner & Faulk are coming off injuries. They may be past peak. This team may do well but their run as an elite team is over.

2) The Giants are now more like the Rams were. Big passing offense, versatile back, average D that should play well enough given good field position & if ahead ability to tee off on opposing QB.

3) The Rams had the Giants number. In 99 & 00, they whipped 'em at home and on road. In 01: Giants beat them physically but lost by 1 on road. Last year on road, Giants won easier than final margin indicated. The tide has turned in this matchup.

4) Rams were 1-7 on road last year.

I could be overvaluing Giants & undervaluing Rams. Worst case - they are even. If so Giants still have home field & recent matchup advantage.

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Messages In This Thread

Week 1: NY Giants - 1.5 -- Howard Kelly -- 30 Jul 03, 3:55 pm
What do you think the true line should be? (nt) -- Ricky -- 30 Jul 03, 5:23 pm
I made it 5. (nt) -- Howard Kelly -- 31 Jul 03, 2:00 pm
I agree with most things you say but -- DOXARAS-4- -- 2 Aug 03, 8:05 am
You are right. The NYG are a late season team. -- Howard Kelly -- 3 Aug 03, 12:16 am
Nice -- DOXARAS-4- -- 3 Aug 03, 4:32 am
giants -1.5 -- Michael -- 3 Aug 03, 6:06 am
I started to read your post 2 months ago & stopped -- Howard Kelly -- 3 Aug 03, 11:53 am
Giants -1.5 -- Michael -- 3 Aug 03, 1:40 pm
Bizarre logic.. -- monkey -- 4 Aug 03, 7:11 am
bizarre logic -- Michael -- 4 Aug 03, 11:47 am
Man do disrespect but.. -- DOXARAS-4- -- 4 Aug 03, 4:53 pm
doxaras -- Michael -- 5 Aug 03, 4:52 am
ok thanks for clarifying -- DOXARAS-4- -- 5 Aug 03, 6:48 am
clarifying -- Michael -- 5 Aug 03, 1:41 pm
one more thing doxaras -- Michael -- 8 Aug 03, 3:26 pm

 


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