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Winning Methods

Posted By: Ben
Date: 17 Jul 03, 2:58 pm

In Response To: Betting Pro vs. College (Joe College)

Depends on if you have Winning Methods.

For example: Fezzik NFL sides go 63-56-4, 52.9% in 2002. Can he win? One season does not make or brake his sides. Overall with totals, season wins, halftimes, 100-90-2.

But taking advantage of "bookmaker inefficiency" with teasers he has a great season. Many slaps on the back.

With greater standard deviation and the varied offense/defense styles on paper college is easier. However, all the betting syndicates have struggled in recent years with the college game.

NFL key numbers/tighter standard deviation make it easier for the Fezzik's of the world who understand the value of a number, when to play, and the significant advantage underdogs have in the NFL. Thus, less effort (if any) is actually needed for a small player to win if they understand the dynamics of the NFL or any league in particular. Oddsmakers can shade a dog for a big game (Sunday/Monday/or Hyped game of the week) by a half or maybe a point (Super Bowl different with public overwhelming) but I strongly believe NFL dogs have a slight edge because of league balance, not oddsmaker moves.

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Messages In This Thread

Betting Pro vs. College -- Joe College -- 16 Jul 03, 5:49 pm
College football ATS, and NFL moneylines (nt) -- Billy Ford -- 17 Jul 03, 9:36 am
Winning Methods -- Ben -- 17 Jul 03, 2:58 pm
College vs. Pro On Paper -- Joe College -- 20 Jul 03, 2:19 pm
Standard Deviation the best way to judge -- Ben -- 20 Jul 03, 3:46 pm
SD -- Joe College -- 20 Jul 03, 4:23 pm
Ready to be Blown Away? Fezzik is speaking at the Who2Beton Festival -- Ben -- 20 Jul 03, 6:09 pm
That data is bad -- Ben Dover -- 26 Jul 03, 5:34 am
Any Advice -- Joe College -- 27 Jul 03, 4:51 pm

 


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