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Major correction

Posted By: Colin Caster
Date: 1 Sep 01, 1:37 pm

In Response To: Arizona versus Houston (Colin Caster)

I have Arizona -160 over Houston if series starts in AZ;
Arizona -132 over Houston if series starts in Houston.

This is all wrong -- sorry. The numbers looked too extreme so I rechecked and found a couple of errors. I also omitted Shane Reynolds from the Astros' rotation. With my corrections I get Arizona -124 to win a series they host; Houston -107 to win a series they host.

Here's how the sims break down: 

           Arizona Hosts       Houston Hosts

# Games  Arizona   Houston   Arizona   Houston 

   4       .060     .053       .065     .056

   5       .115     .134       .103     .145

   6       .193     .123       .169     .146

   7       .186     .136       .179     .137

Total      .554     .446       .516     .484

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Messages In This Thread

Looking ahead to AL playoffs -- James -- 28 Aug 01, 11:39 pm
I give it an A+ -- fezzik -- 29 Aug 01, 1:13 am
Covering my backside -- James -- 29 Aug 01, 3:00 am
Yankee dynasty -- Revere14 -- 29 Aug 01, 1:55 am
My AL estimates as of today -- Colin Caster -- 29 Aug 01, 11:28 pm
Any NL thoughts? -- James -- 30 Aug 01, 3:04 am
Arizona in playoffs -- Harv -- 30 Aug 01, 12:43 pm
Arizona in Playoffs -- DaveG -- 30 Aug 01, 3:40 pm
re: Braves Offense -- David Matthews -- 31 Aug 01, 9:30 am
Braves Offensive Problems Solved -- urban33 -- 1 Sep 01, 11:25 am
It might be grasping for straws, but... -- Fibonacci -- 2 Sep 01, 5:45 pm
I hate the snakes -- Fezzik -- 2 Sep 01, 12:20 am
Arizona versus Houston -- Colin Caster -- 30 Aug 01, 10:11 pm
Major correction -- Colin Caster -- 1 Sep 01, 1:37 pm
how have you done in playoffs vs market? -- docriver -- 30 Aug 01, 10:00 am
I haven't -- Colin Caster -- 30 Aug 01, 10:17 pm

 


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