[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

MLB Forum

Looking ahead to AL playoffs

Posted By: James
Date: 28 Aug 01, 11:39 pm

While there are still 30+ games left in the season, it no longer seems too presumptuous to predict the 4 AL playoff teams.

Assume the Mariners, Yankees, Indians win their divisions, with Oakland as the wild card.

Opening series:
Mariners v Indians
Yankees v Athletics

Any predictions on lines and/or probabilities for AL playoffs?

A few weeks ago, I would have put the Mariners at 70% vs the Indians, and Oakland at least 55% vs Yankees. I've been impressed with the Indians lately though, especially during their west coast road trip against the Mariners and A's.

My current best guess at a fair line (NOT a prediction of the opening line):
Mariners -150 v. Indians (60%/40%)
Oakland EV v. Yankees

Mariners -120 v Yankees/A's
Indians +140 v Yankees/A's

Overall AL odds:
Mariners +200
Oakland +300
Yankees +300
Indians +500

Current market lines for AL futures on Mariners and Yankees are both about +180 or lower, so presumably Yanks will be priced at least that low come playoff time.

Anyone more knowledgeable than I care to comment?

Password:

Messages In This Thread

Looking ahead to AL playoffs -- James -- 28 Aug 01, 11:39 pm
I give it an A+ -- fezzik -- 29 Aug 01, 1:13 am
Covering my backside -- James -- 29 Aug 01, 3:00 am
Yankee dynasty -- Revere14 -- 29 Aug 01, 1:55 am
My AL estimates as of today -- Colin Caster -- 29 Aug 01, 11:28 pm
Any NL thoughts? -- James -- 30 Aug 01, 3:04 am
Arizona in playoffs -- Harv -- 30 Aug 01, 12:43 pm
Arizona in Playoffs -- DaveG -- 30 Aug 01, 3:40 pm
re: Braves Offense -- David Matthews -- 31 Aug 01, 9:30 am
Braves Offensive Problems Solved -- urban33 -- 1 Sep 01, 11:25 am
It might be grasping for straws, but... -- Fibonacci -- 2 Sep 01, 5:45 pm
I hate the snakes -- Fezzik -- 2 Sep 01, 12:20 am
Arizona versus Houston -- Colin Caster -- 30 Aug 01, 10:11 pm
Major correction -- Colin Caster -- 1 Sep 01, 1:37 pm
how have you done in playoffs vs market? -- docriver -- 30 Aug 01, 10:00 am
I haven't -- Colin Caster -- 30 Aug 01, 10:17 pm

 


Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Picks Post?
Message:

If you'd like to include a link to another page with your message,
please provide both the URL address and the title of the page:

Optional Link URL:
Optional Link Title:

If you'd like to have the option of deleting your post later,
please provide a password (CASE SENSITIVE!):

Password:

If you'd like e-mail notification of responses, please check this box:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

MLB Forum is maintained by Pi Yee Press