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From what I have seen...

Posted By: StevieY
Date: 2 Aug 01, 6:03 am

In Response To: Predicting pitcher performance (Colin Caster) 


it is the development of a good 3rd pitch.  Harv was right, there was something 

wrong with him, whether you call it a full blown injury or just some soreness 

because he is no longer throwing his hard slider(take it from personal 

experience, it was flat nasty, as was the 94-95 mph fastball he rearranged

 my spine with in college, think I still got a bruise from that :) ).

  He went to a curveball which he was throwing much too slow for his fastball, 

too big of a difference in speeds, easier to sit back.  When you switch from 

a slider to a curveball, that is usually a sign that you are worried about your

elbow and want to take some pressure off it(or your slider is not very good

which wasn't his case).  The pitch that has helped him as the season has gone 

on is his new found changeup.  The change is hands down the best pitch in 

baseball, and he is throwing a good one right now, gotten better over the course

of the year, and that has been the difference.  Look at the breakdown by month.

 

         Month       Runners/Inn     W/9 Inn    K/9 Inn

         April           1.52         3.78        5.58

         May             1.37         3.24        4.41

         June            1.73         6.12        6.57

         July            1.07         2.88        9.18

 

The difference between a good changeup and a bad changeup shows in the splits

between June and July.  A bad changeup means you are giving it away somehow,

people aren't swinging at it.  A good changeup doesn't have to be a strike to be

the most effective.  From what I saw in his start vs Atlanta, it was great, same

motion, great placement off the plate, the Braves couldn't leave it alone, 

it's a great pitch to have.  In his last 5 starts, he has beaten Atlanta, Houston,

Minnesota, and has a no decision in a win vs Cleveland where he threw well.  Three

of those 4 teams are teams where you must have a good off speed pitch to beat them.

You won't fastball/curveball them to death, they eat that up.

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Messages In This Thread

How about that Dustin Hermanson? :-) (nt) -- Colin Caster -- 21 Jul 01, 10:24 pm
Grrrr (nt) -- Harv -- 1 Aug 01, 3:47 pm
We tried to warn you. :) (nt) -- StevieY -- 1 Aug 01, 5:33 pm
Predicting pitcher performance -- Colin Caster -- 1 Aug 01, 11:54 pm
From what I have seen... -- StevieY -- 2 Aug 01, 6:03 am
StevieY is right -- Harv -- 2 Aug 01, 4:10 pm
Agree that July has made the difference -- Colin Caster -- 3 Aug 01, 12:06 am
Hermanson -- StevieY -- 3 Aug 01, 11:23 am
I mean Sunday (nt) -- StevieY -- 3 Aug 01, 11:28 am
Hermanson on Sunday -- Colin Caster -- 6 Aug 01, 2:16 pm
Hermanson -- StevieY -- 6 Aug 01, 2:35 pm
LOL -- Colin Caster -- 6 Aug 01, 3:54 pm
Stevie, you mentioned.. -- Roz -- 6 Aug 01, 2:45 pm
Answer -- StevieY -- 6 Aug 01, 2:57 pm
Strike three==Yurrr Out! -- Jimbo -- 20 Aug 01, 9:02 pm
Difference -- StevieY -- 21 Aug 01, 2:11 pm
Ryan -- Jimbo -- 21 Aug 01, 3:44 pm
Yeah but, -- StevieY -- 21 Aug 01, 4:24 pm
Again -- Jimbo -- 22 Aug 01, 1:55 am
Sinker/slider pitchers -- StevieY -- 22 Aug 01, 2:33 pm

 


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