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Are faltering teams bad bets at any odds?

Posted By: James
Date: 15 Aug 01, 6:05 pm

In Response To: The bad bets (fezzik)

My estimate of prevailing market lines are:

Dodgers 6-1 (I quoted 18-1)
Cubs 4-1 (I quoted 5-1)
and
Atlanta 3.5-1? (4-1 number I quoted has been available at one book for a while, and I've now found it at another out, but many shops are still stuck at 2 or 3).

Dodgers 6-1, Cubs 4-1, Braves 3-1 are probably all bad bets, which would lead to an overall vig of about 12%.

Are you sure that the higher odds quoted are really 20% vig odds?

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Messages In This Thread

Pennant futures prices 8/15 -- James -- 15 Aug 01, 11:46 am
For your NL numbers, the player has an edge. -- Stanford Wong -- 15 Aug 01, 12:29 pm
Forgot Houston (nt) -- StevieY -- 15 Aug 01, 1:16 pm
Sorry. Left out Houston 9-1. (nt) -- James -- 15 Aug 01, 1:57 pm
That's still a player edge -- Stanford Wong -- 15 Aug 01, 3:51 pm
The bad bets -- fezzik -- 15 Aug 01, 4:45 pm
Are faltering teams bad bets at any odds? -- James -- 15 Aug 01, 6:05 pm
Avoid faltering teams since -- fezzik -- 15 Aug 01, 11:26 pm
Cleveland 10-1 -- James -- 15 Aug 01, 6:19 pm
my estimation of fair odds -- docriver -- 15 Aug 01, 7:37 pm

 


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