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Yep; general answer

Posted By: Colin Caster
Date: 19 Oct 01, 2:23 pm

In Response To: 4 vs 5 6 vs 7 (docriver)

it reminds me a little of this question :
assume two teams are perfectly equal in every respect, and they play a best of seven series on a neutral field. what is more likely to happen, the series to end in 6 games or the series end in 7 games?

I find it useful to compare my own preseries numbers against this "neutral" scenario, which produces the following distribution:

p(4) = .125
p(5) = .25
p(6) = .3125
p(7) = .3125

I'm pretty sure Harv was thinking about this preseries distribution, not the distribution given a 2-0 lead.

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Messages In This Thread

Yankees -529 -- Colin Caster -- 18 Oct 01, 9:19 pm
Sounds good -- StevieY -- 18 Oct 01, 10:09 pm
Weird -- Harv -- 19 Oct 01, 4:36 am
4 vs 5 6 vs 7 -- docriver -- 19 Oct 01, 9:12 am
Yep; general answer -- Colin Caster -- 19 Oct 01, 2:23 pm
answer w/o math -- docriver -- 19 Oct 01, 2:49 pm
nice slick answer (nt) -- Math Boy -- 20 Oct 01, 7:32 am
WSEX futures markets -- docriver -- 18 Oct 01, 10:34 pm

 


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