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Hermanson on Sunday

Posted By: Colin Caster
Date: 6 Aug 01, 2:16 pm

In Response To: From what I have seen... (StevieY)

Just an addition to the table that supports my contention that aggregates are more trustworthy than recent numbers as predictors of performance. To be sure, it's not a huge support: one game means were little in support of any proposition. But I contend that the best prediction of how Hermanson will perform (or most any starter will perform) for the rest of the season is produced by making typically only very minor alterations to heavily aggregated past performance. 

         Month       Runners/Inn     W/9 Inn    K/9 Inn

         April           1.52         3.78        5.58

         May             1.37         3.24        4.41

         June            1.73         6.12        6.57

         July            1.07         2.88        9.18

         8/5             1.83         7.50        6.00


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Messages In This Thread

How about that Dustin Hermanson? :-) (nt) -- Colin Caster -- 21 Jul 01, 10:24 pm
Grrrr (nt) -- Harv -- 1 Aug 01, 3:47 pm
We tried to warn you. :) (nt) -- StevieY -- 1 Aug 01, 5:33 pm
Predicting pitcher performance -- Colin Caster -- 1 Aug 01, 11:54 pm
From what I have seen... -- StevieY -- 2 Aug 01, 6:03 am
StevieY is right -- Harv -- 2 Aug 01, 4:10 pm
Agree that July has made the difference -- Colin Caster -- 3 Aug 01, 12:06 am
Hermanson -- StevieY -- 3 Aug 01, 11:23 am
I mean Sunday (nt) -- StevieY -- 3 Aug 01, 11:28 am
Hermanson on Sunday -- Colin Caster -- 6 Aug 01, 2:16 pm
Hermanson -- StevieY -- 6 Aug 01, 2:35 pm
LOL -- Colin Caster -- 6 Aug 01, 3:54 pm
Stevie, you mentioned.. -- Roz -- 6 Aug 01, 2:45 pm
Answer -- StevieY -- 6 Aug 01, 2:57 pm
Strike three==Yurrr Out! -- Jimbo -- 20 Aug 01, 9:02 pm
Difference -- StevieY -- 21 Aug 01, 2:11 pm
Ryan -- Jimbo -- 21 Aug 01, 3:44 pm
Yeah but, -- StevieY -- 21 Aug 01, 4:24 pm
Again -- Jimbo -- 22 Aug 01, 1:55 am
Sinker/slider pitchers -- StevieY -- 22 Aug 01, 2:33 pm

 


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