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agree strongly

Posted By: bigplayer
Date: 12 Sep 01, 4:28 pm

In Response To: Volume (RD)

"Again, in my opinion, raw team/to/team handicapping can get you above the 52.38 percent break even level, perhaps to 54 or 55 percent winners. The extra 1 or 2 percent needs to come from a betting strategy. "

In the NFL it is tough to pick 60-65% straight up winners in the long term much less ATS. If you pick 65% straight up the best you can expect is about 55% ATS. If you're gonna get up to 58% lifetime you had better do two things: 1. Line Shop to find those extra 1/2 points and 2. Use research like SW's book to buy on/off key numbers.

bigplayer

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Messages In This Thread

Handicapping the Handicappers -- RD -- 10 Sep 01, 4:41 pm
capping the cappers -- lepto -- 10 Sep 01, 5:02 pm
Fine post-Keep the "experts" honest! (nt) -- f.sarlo -- 10 Sep 01, 7:17 pm
Additional comments re: Handicapping the Handicappers. -- samo666 -- 11 Sep 01, 4:49 am
Thanks. I was wondering -- lepto -- 11 Sep 01, 5:44 am
Being a settled line bettor vs. being a line settler - ??? re: RD's method. -- samo666 -- 11 Sep 01, 10:19 pm
Volume -- RD -- 12 Sep 01, 8:21 am
agree strongly -- bigplayer -- 12 Sep 01, 4:28 pm
Page owners power ratings. -- samo666 -- 26 Sep 01, 3:40 pm
Power ratings -- StevieY -- 30 Sep 01, 11:24 am

 

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