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Risk-averse betting?

Posted By: lepto
Date: 14 Aug 01, 1:33 pm

In Response To: Risk-averse betting? (John May)

Actually the procedure does not need to be any complicated at all:
Assume that you take all your profits (full hedge), recalculate your bankroll, calculate your optimal bet (kelly, optimal f, or inflexion point) for the last (or the remaining events), and then you know what % of your new bankroll is to be de-hedged. Then proceed to hedge everything except the portion you wish to remain at risk, according to the previous criteria.

This process is commonly used in professional stock/commodity speculation. It is known as position sizing.

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Messages In This Thread

How to handle the "huge exposure game" -- Fezzik -- 12 Aug 01, 11:53 pm
So, will you be hedging against the Mariners in October? -- James -- 13 Aug 01, 12:33 am
Difference between A's and Eagles -- StevieY -- 13 Aug 01, 11:35 am
that's not a hedge -- docriver -- 13 Aug 01, 12:10 pm
Yes and no -- StevieY -- 13 Aug 01, 12:33 pm
risk -- docriver -- 13 Aug 01, 1:04 pm
Hedging -- StevieY -- 13 Aug 01, 1:38 pm
Example please? -- docriver -- 13 Aug 01, 1:56 pm
Example -- StevieY -- 13 Aug 01, 5:36 pm
because you have 40x in equity now -- docriver -- 13 Aug 01, 6:01 pm
above title should read : 18x, not 40x (nt) -- docriver -- 13 Aug 01, 6:08 pm
You aren't wagering 18,000+ -- StevieY -- 13 Aug 01, 6:11 pm
Agree to disagree -- docriver -- 13 Aug 01, 6:20 pm
You are both right, even disagreeing -- Fezzik -- 15 Aug 01, 1:32 am
Size your bets according the payoff, not the bet size. -- Stanford Wong -- 13 Aug 01, 6:39 pm
he really has found some arbitrage -- Math Boy -- 13 Aug 01, 8:21 pm
You can always overbet if the marginal EV from betting more is less than th -- docriver -- 13 Aug 01, 8:41 pm
Practical issues -- James -- 14 Aug 01, 11:27 am
i'm the minority -- docriver -- 13 Aug 01, 8:38 pm
hedging futures bets -- rainmandon -- 21 Aug 01, 7:51 pm
I understand the bet... -- StevieY -- 21 Aug 01, 7:58 pm
hedging futures -- rainmandon -- 21 Aug 01, 9:22 pm
I understand the bet... -- StevieY -- 22 Aug 01, 6:40 pm
Sea hedge -- Fezzik -- 15 Aug 01, 1:34 am
Oops.......I showed my Sea Bias -- Fezzik -- 15 Aug 01, 1:36 am
I'm in the same boat. I won't hedge. -- Stanford Wong -- 13 Aug 01, 8:57 am
Risk-averse betting? -- John May -- 13 Aug 01, 9:14 am
Agree -- Don Schlesinger -- 14 Aug 01, 1:11 pm
1 investment question -- Fezzik -- 15 Aug 01, 2:29 am
Attempt at some answers -- Don Schlesinger -- 15 Aug 01, 8:13 am
how much does money mean to you? -- docriver -- 15 Aug 01, 8:39 am
In-the-money options -- Jaeger -- 23 Aug 01, 6:44 pm
No -- Don Schlesinger -- 23 Aug 01, 8:55 pm
Risk-averse betting? -- lepto -- 14 Aug 01, 1:33 pm
Your bet suffered turf toe -- McNabb#1 -- 14 Aug 01, 4:24 am

 

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