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Clarifying my question:

Posted By: lepto
Date: 27 Aug 01, 8:16 am

In Response To: Consistency (Don Schlesinger)

Thanks for your response.

I think I did not make myself clear: what I'm after is a way to quantify the non-linearity that makes handicappers records not to conform to the expected variance/ standard deviation. i.e.: After a series of losses the capper tends to get more careful and his picks tend to improve, after a series of successes the capper tends to get less careful and/or willing to take more risk. This psychological attitude makes, in fact, the sequence of picks, a sequence of dependent events (the recent results affect the future outcomes).

This "dependency" is what I wish to quantify.

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Messages In This Thread

Handicappers, Variance and Consistency. -- lepto -- 27 Aug 01, 6:39 am
Consistency -- Don Schlesinger -- 27 Aug 01, 7:58 am
Clarifying my question: -- lepto -- 27 Aug 01, 8:16 am
Clarifying Don's response -- Math Boy -- 27 Aug 01, 9:03 am
In the financial markets, . . . -- Don Schlesinger -- 27 Aug 01, 5:39 pm
Tsk, tsk -- Kim Lee -- 27 Aug 01, 1:54 pm
Don't understand your comment at all -- Don Schlesinger -- 27 Aug 01, 5:44 pm
Streaks -- Revere14 -- 28 Aug 01, 1:43 am
Sharpe -- Editor -- 28 Aug 01, 8:51 pm
Don't Bother Kim.... -- Dr Wogga -- 30 Aug 01, 11:13 am
Yup -- Don Schlesinger -- 30 Aug 01, 2:17 pm

 

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