General Forum

Strange thought processes

Posted By: Don Schlesinger
Date: 24 Aug 01, 5:13 pm

In Response To: you're not as smart as i thought you were (docriver)

"So, what part of this is inconsistent?"

Most of it.

"this seems to imply that he's been telling you his picks for 20 years, cause [sic] otherwise, how'd you know?"

He told me and I believe him. Fancy that! One honest man believing another honest man. Shocking these days, huh? Suppose SW told you that, for the past 30 years, he's won a million dollars playing blackjack. But, you didn't see him play five minutes. So, you conclude what, exactly? And, if you choose not to believe him, is that a reflection on Wong, or on you?

"and in a previous post, you stated that you haven't bet on his picks yet. something's not right."

You got that right! In 1987, the guy sitting right next to me told everyone to buy SPX November puts in August. A few people did just that. His $20,000 investment turned into $8 million on October 19. I made dick. That isn't a reflection on the guy who bought the puts, is it?

"Well, either you haven't been getting his picks for 20 years (which is what I think),"

I met Dan in 1995 or '96, I think.

"and thus can't be 100% accurate in saying he's done 56-7% in 20
years, except to believe his word"

Yeah, it's a terrible thing to believe a man's word, who is the most scrupulously honest person I think I've ever met. I'm such a sucker when it comes to these things. No judgment of character at all.

"....or, you aren't as smart as I thought you were cause [sic] if you've had that much evidence on him picking 56-7% in 20
years, you would have been betting on his picks for at least the last 10 years"

I've had access to his picks for the past four years.

"i'd think any sane intelligent human would."

Well, that leaves unintelligent, insane me out of the picture, I guess! ;-)

Don

Messages In This Thread

a question -- Arthur -- 21 Aug 01, 5:11 pm

answers -- Stanford Wong -- 21 Aug 01, 7:05 pm

Virtually all attainable -- Don Schlesinger -- 21 Aug 01, 7:36 pm

More data is required -- John May -- 22 Aug 01, 11:03 am

More data will come -- Stanford Wong -- 22 Aug 01, 1:39 pm

Highly doubtful -- Don Schlesinger -- 22 Aug 01, 7:02 pm

Don, you are one lovable smartass! (nt) -- Compador -- 22 Aug 01, 8:01 pm

Chunk Bet -- Fezzik -- 22 Aug 01, 10:40 pm

Wong +500 looks resonable -- Math Boy -- 23 Aug 01, 8:22 am

I'm impressed -- Don Schlesinger -- 23 Aug 01, 9:33 am

not that great an estimate -- Math Boy -- 23 Aug 01, 3:47 pm

Spoilsport -- John May -- 23 Aug 01, 4:09 pm

DonS is running the wrong way! -- fezzik's chunk bet -- 23 Aug 01, 11:15 pm

Eye of the beholder -- Don Schlesinger -- 24 Aug 01, 8:36 am

you're not as smart as i thought you were -- docriver -- 24 Aug 01, 10:06 am

Strange thought processes -- Don Schlesinger -- 24 Aug 01, 5:13 pm

you believe because you know him...but what about us? -- docriver -- 24 Aug 01, 5:28 pm

Honest answers -- Don Schlesinger -- 24 Aug 01, 6:36 pm

Four years -- docriver -- 24 Aug 01, 5:30 pm

219/391 -- Don Schlesinger -- 24 Aug 01, 6:40 pm

a little math question -- docriver -- 24 Aug 01, 6:43 pm

Math question -- Colin Caster -- 24 Aug 01, 8:06 pm

Suggestion: List those 391 picks -- Stanford Wong -- 24 Aug 01, 8:34 pm

Just asking -- Don Schlesinger -- 24 Aug 01, 9:07 pm

Don, isn't this two-faced? -- Fezzik -- 25 Aug 01, 12:20 am

No new picks with old prices, please -- Stanford Wong -- 25 Aug 01, 7:14 am

Always boils down to the same thing -- Don Schlesinger -- 25 Aug 01, 8:54 am

Classic DonS Deflection Post -- Fezzik -- 24 Aug 01, 8:56 pm

Too serious -- Don Schlesinger -- 25 Aug 01, 8:45 am

I think you touched some nerves Don -- DowntownMan -- 25 Aug 01, 1:26 pm

I don't expect an answer . . . -- Don Schlesinger -- 25 Aug 01, 5:56 pm

Good post! -- Fezzik -- 25 Aug 01, 9:01 pm

Question re: " correction to the Gordon sample". -- samo666 -- 23 Aug 01, 2:43 am

You need to look at the total number of touts tested -- John May -- 23 Aug 01, 3:07 am

Asinine analysis -- Don Schlesinger -- 23 Aug 01, 9:36 am

Er...why? -- John May -- 23 Aug 01, 1:13 pm

Guess you can't read -- Don Schlesinger -- 23 Aug 01, 4:34 pm

Corrections & Honest Touts -- Bob Fisher -- 23 Aug 01, 5:29 pm

Quite misguided analysis -- Don Schlesinger -- 23 Aug 01, 8:53 pm

Baccarat vs touting -- John May -- 24 Aug 01, 12:24 pm

I thank God every day -- Don Schlesinger -- 24 Aug 01, 5:28 pm

What makes Stanford Wong an authority on football wagering? -- Colin Caster -- 21 Aug 01, 11:10 pm

Wong has established -- John May -- 22 Aug 01, 4:39 am

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