[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

Arena Football

Question for daringly

Posted By: WarDekar
Date: 28 Jun 04, 3:36 am

Now that the Arena Bowl has passed, can you comment on my picks? I basically only analyzed those 4 and all 4 happened to be picks. All I did was compare each team/player's performance, the team's opponent's performance, and the league performance to get my predicted values and then used poisson to get percentages to convert to lines. Is this method very accurate?

Obviously, the results were good, but it seemed like an odd game. Excluding the last possession which shouldn't really count, there was only 1 defensive stop for each team. This obviously led to a lot of completions for both teams, which covered 2 of my selections. This made it harder for me to win the INT pick, though, and it still won easily. As for the sacks, I don't know what happened because SJ has been pretty bad at giving up sacks and ARI has been good at pass rushing and also protecting Bonner.

FWIW I don't really watch much Arena, only on occassion, so I don't know a lot about the game itself although I do find it interesting. I was hoping to attend a few Cincinnati Swarm games this year, but unfortunately they didn't make it past their first year.

Password:

Messages In This Thread

Question for daringly -- WarDekar -- 28 Jun 04, 3:36 am
props -- daringly -- 28 Jun 04, 9:56 pm
Is this a legitimate way to predict occurrances of events, though? -- WarDekar -- 28 Jun 04, 10:55 pm
props... -- daringly -- 29 Jun 04, 6:06 am

 


Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Picks Post?
Message:

If you'd like to include a link to another page with your message,
please provide both the URL address and the title of the page:

Optional Link URL:
Optional Link Title:

If you'd like to have the option of deleting your post later,
please provide a password (CASE SENSITIVE!):

Password:

If you'd like e-mail notification of responses, please check this box:

 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

Arena Football is maintained by Pi Yee Press