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Arena Football

My "plays"

Posted By: WarDekar
Date: 21 Jun 04, 7:01 pm

In Response To: odds... (daringly)

I didn't actually play any of them yet, I might play them small just for a bit of fun (i.e. I don't expect them to be +EV). As far as looking at teams, etc., I analyzed both teams and the league as a whole. I understand means and medians are very different, in fact that's the basis for another system (and sport), it's just a matter of figuring out how to weight them both.

I realize the AB probably yields odd results compared to your typical regular season game, as does any finals. This is really just an exercise in a way. I wish there were more articles, etc. written about evaluating props, because I don't know the first thing about actually doing it just doing it based on my own intuition and some math.

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Messages In This Thread

Arenabowl props -- daringly -- 16 Jun 04, 7:20 pm
Maybe ones that we can beat? (nt) -- WarDekar -- 16 Jun 04, 11:00 pm
Do these get much action? -- James -- 17 Jun 04, 9:30 am
Two Arena props I bet -- Rick Peterman -- 20 Jun 04, 7:44 pm
You all wanted props that were easy to beat -- daringly -- 21 Jun 04, 6:45 am
comments -- Rick Peterman -- 21 Jun 04, 8:19 am
Too lazy to look it up? Shouldn't that one be easy to look up? -- WarDekar -- 21 Jun 04, 4:30 pm
amusing prop -- daringly -- 21 Jun 04, 4:38 pm
I saw that... -- WarDekar -- 21 Jun 04, 5:22 pm
odds... -- daringly -- 21 Jun 04, 5:34 pm
My "plays" -- WarDekar -- 21 Jun 04, 7:01 pm
Res: 3-1 +1.95u (nt) -- WarDekar -- 27 Jun 04, 4:03 pm
How is that one graded if he gets a half-sack? NT (nt) -- Bob Milo -- 26 Jun 04, 3:37 am

 


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